03 Nov 2025
Planning ahead of the 2025 Autumn Budget
Planning ahead of the 2025 Autumn Budget , where potential tax rises on inheritance, property, and income are widely anticipated.
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Planning ahead of the 2025 Autumn BudgetExports already account for around 30% of UK gross domestic product (GDP), and the government wants the share to rise further by helping more small businesses sell overseas. In the 2024 Autumn Statement, ministers renewed the goal of lifting UK exports to £1 trillion a year by 2030. Although the headline target often makes the news, the real shift will come from the thousands of owner-managed businesses that decide to quote for an order in Dublin, Dubai, or Denver for the first time.
The latest Business Insights survey from the Office for National Statistics (ONS) shows that 22% of UK firms with 10 or more staff shipped goods, services or both abroad in the 12 months to April 2025. The same dataset suggests that a further 9% expect to start exporting within the next year. Cheap cloud software, predictable customs processes and direct-to-consumer platforms mean that geography limits fewer firms than before.
Of course, every extra customer, currency and border adds work. Directors must prove product compliance, hold export evidence for VAT, and protect cashflow against longer settlement periods. That is where TC Group comes in, offering clear, specific guidance that reflects current tax rules and funding schemes.
A larger export base lifts national output and improves productivity, and the opportunity is tangible even for smaller firms.
The appetite is growing. Momentum is visible in the trade data, too. The value of UK goods exports rose by £1.8bn (6.3%) in January 2025 compared with December 2024.
Before a firm starts quoting to overseas buyers, encourage directors to work through the points below.
At TC Group, we help clients quantify each item. A quick-ratio test and rolling 12-month cashflow forecast often reveal whether the business can shoulder the extra working capital.
Trading overseas brings added tax considerations, even for experienced domestic businesses.
The small profits rate remains at 19% for profits up to £50,000, while the main rate of 25% applies to profits above £250,000. Marginal relief is available for profits that fall between these thresholds.
For clients with group structures, it’s worth modelling how overseas activity might affect overall profit allocation, particularly if they’re planning to open a foreign branch.
Agree on the correct incoterms (international commercial terms) at the quotation stage so everyone knows who books the transport, who pays duty and at what point the risk passes. Show the terms on the commercial invoice alongside the eight-digit commodity code, customs value, and net and gross weight. Submit your export declaration through the Customs Declaration Service (CDS) and give the haulier the movement reference number before collection.
For consignments entering the EU, the UK-EU Trade and Cooperation Agreement can remove tariffs if the goods meet the rules of origin. Keep supplier declarations or a self-declaration on the invoice confirming UK origin and store the paperwork for at least four years, as customs officers may ask for proof long after the shipment clears. If the product falls outside the agreement – for instance, because it contains a high proportion of non-UK inputs – build the duty rate into your landed-cost calculation so you quote a realistic price.
Import VAT is usually payable by the buyer at the border, but you can simplify their cashflow by offering Delivered Duty Paid (DDP). In that case, you act as importer of record, recover the VAT through a local registration, and charge it back to the customer in sterling. Whatever model you choose, keep your evidence bundle – commercial invoice, packing list, transport documentation, origin statements, and any preference certificates – complete and well-indexed so future audits run smoothly.
Posting staff abroad or sending them overseas on business trips may trigger income tax and social security obligations for UK employers and employees overseas. There may also be implications for their UK payroll position and their personal tax residency position.
Consideration should be given where a company has employees or sales representatives working overseas, as this may create a permanent establishment (“PE”) in that jurisdiction. The rules for determining whether a PE exists vary by territory, so local tax advice should be sought in each relevant country.
Where a PE is established, or foreign entities are set up, a number of corporate tax rules may apply, including transfer pricing requirements and anti-hybrid rules. Appropriate tax advice should be obtained to ensure compliance and avoid any missed obligations
A single delayed payment in a different currency can destabilise a small business. We recommend the following actions.
We can build exchange-rate scenarios into your cashflow forecast so you can see the worst-case draw on working capital.
Choosing the first overseas market is often harder than shipping itself. Base the shortlist on measurable evidence.
After ranking the options, advise the business to pilot one market at a time so it can refine price, marketing and distribution without heavy upfront costs.
Several schemes reduce the upfront cost of exporting.
Applications move faster when your accountant supplies historic accounts, management information and cashflow projections that align with the export plan.
Exporting remains one of the fastest ways for a small UK business to grow turnover, sharpen its product and diversify risk. It’s also more structured, and therefore more manageable, than many owners first assume. The rulebook is clear, the support programmes are well funded and reputable logistics partners handle the mechanics of shipping every day.
What matters most is preparation. Reliable cashflow forecasts show whether the firm can carry longer payment terms. A documented VAT process avoids penalties and keeps input-tax recovery smooth. Early dialogue with UKEF or a relationship bank can secure a working-capital guarantee before production ramps up. When these foundations are in place, small businesses can focus on sales and service rather than firefighting finance issues.
TC Group sits at the centre of that preparation. We translate tax law into practical checklists, sense-check currency scenarios and package the numbers that lenders want to see. By doing so, we help small businesses move from interest in exporting to sustainable overseas revenue.
TC Group provides practical, tailored advice to help you navigate tax, compliance, and funding for small businesses, so you can expand internationally with confidence. Get in touch with your local TC Group office to start planning your next step.
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